O’ZBEKISTON IQTISODIYOTI BARQAROR O’SISHIDA OPTIMAL INFLYATSIYA SIYOSATINI ANIQLASH
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.60078/2992-877X-2024-vol2-iss8-pp71-80Annotasiya
Optimal pul-kredit siyosati haqidagi bilimlar va ko'pincha moslashuvchan inflyatsiyani targetlashda optimallashtirish qoidalari markaziy banklarga barcha tsiklik siyosat turlarini ishlab chiqish vazifalarini yuklaydi. Optimal inflyatsiya siyosatining maqsadi
makroiqtisodiy barqarorlikka erishish va barqaror iqtisodiy o'sishni rag'batlantirishdan iborat. Pul-kredit siyosatini monitar siyosat yuritish qoidasiga bog'liq holda miqdorini aniqlash va nazarda tutilgan optimal inflyatsiya maqsadini aniqlash uchun ekonometrik DSGE modelidan foydalanamiz. r*(qayta moliyalashtirish stavkasi) va optimal inflyatsiya maqsadi o'rtasidagi bog'liqlik pastga qarab egilgan. Optimal inflyatsiya darajasining o'sishi r* ning pasayishidan umuman kichikroq bo'lsa-da, hozirda empirik ahamiyatga ega bo'lgan joylarda bog’liqlik qiyaligi -1 ga yaqin ekanligi aniqlandi. Ushbu burchak parametri noaniqligini ta'minlash uchun yetarlidir.
Narxlar darajasini belgilash kabi ularning rangbarangligi strategiyalarida optimal inflyatsiya maqsadi sezilarli darajada past va r * ga nisbatan kam tasirchanligi aniqlandi.
Kalit so‘zlar:
optimal siyosat inflyatsiya iqtisodiy model makroiqtisodiy sikl monetar siyosat pul-kredit siyosati ekonometrik model Yangi Keynschilik va Dinamik Staxostik Umumiy Muvozanat modellari(DSGE)Bibliografik manbalar
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